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MRV & uncertainty

Make the evidence behind the claim explicit.

Scientific support for enhanced rock weathering, carbon-removal monitoring and uncertainty analysis. Connect what can be measured with what can reasonably be concluded.

The decision

Do the measurements support the removal claim?

A measurement programme needs a clear scientific rationale, weathering signals are difficult to interpret, or a removal estimate depends on assumptions that need testing.

What the work can include

  • Review the link between the proposed process, measurements and claimed outcome.
  • Examine sampling design, observability and the adequacy of supporting evidence.
  • Assess uncertainty and modelling assumptions within an agreed scientific scope.
  • Consider Bayesian verification approaches where appropriate to the question and available data.

Potential outputs

The exact deliverables are agreed in the scope. A package can include:

  • An evidence and measurement map.
  • A review of key uncertainties and assumptions.
  • Recommendations for sampling, analysis or model development.
  • A scientific interpretation that distinguishes measured, inferred and unresolved outcomes.

Clear scope. Useful output.

A defined question, agreed deliverables and a transparent account of assumptions make the work easier to use.

Discuss a project